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think-tanks是什么意思?原段落是:Athirdpreoccupationwillbegeopoliticalrisk.TheconventionalwisdomisthatAmericaisheadingforashowdownwithIranoveritsnuclearambitions,whileinitsOlympicyearChinawillavoidseriousructions

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think-tanks是什么意思?
原段落是:A third preoccupation will be geopolitical risk.The
conventional wisdom is that America is heading for
a showdown with Iran over its nuclear ambitions,
while in its Olympic year China will avoid serious
ructions with independent-minded Taiwan.In fact,
the opposite is perfectly possible:a “grand
bargain” between America and Iran,and a crisis
over Taiwan,which faces noisy elections in 2008.
For sure,political risk will become a hotter topic in
both think-tanks and boardrooms
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